Ho pholletsa le sebaka sa Latin America, kholo ea GDP e batla e bataletse ho feta 2% feela, ho latela ECLAC.
Charles W. Thurston, Moqolotsi oa litaba oa Latin America03.31.25
Tlhokahalo e matla ea Brazil ea ho penta le thepa ea ho roala e eketsehile ka 6% ka 2024, 'me e imenne habeli keketseho ea lihlahisoa tsa naha. Lilemong tse fetileng, indasteri e ne e atisa ho feta ho potlakisa GDP ka ntlha e le 'ngoe kapa tse peli, empa selemong se fetileng, karo-karolelano e ile ea eketseha, ho latela tlaleho ea morao-rao ea Abrafati, Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"Mmaraka oa pente ea Brazil le liphahlo li felile 2024 ka thekiso ea rekoto, e fetang likhakanyo tsohle tse fanoeng ho theosa le selemo. Lebelo la thekiso le ile la lula le le matla ho pholletsa le selemo meleng eohle ea lihlahisoa, le phahamisa kakaretso ea lilithara tse limilione tse likete tse 1.983 - lilithara tse limilione tse 112 ho feta selemong se fetileng, e emelang kholo ea 6.0% - e neng e nkuoa ka sekhahla sa 2% ho feta 2% ka selemo sa 21. indasteri,” ho boletse Fabio Humberg, motsamaisi oa Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, ka lengolo-tsoibila ho CW.
"Bolumo ea 2024 - ea hoo e ka bang lilithara tse limilione tse likete tse 2 - e emela sephetho se setle ka ho fetisisa letotong la histori 'me e se e entse Brazil naha ea bone e kholo ka ho fetisisa lefatšeng, e fetang Jeremane," Humberg o hlokometse.
Khōlo ea Setereke e Haufi le Flat
Ho pholletsa le sebaka sa Latin America, kholo ea GDP e batla e bataletse ka holimonyana ho 2% feela, ho latela United Nations' Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). "Ka 2024, moruo oa sebaka sena o ile oa hola ka 2.2%, mme bakeng sa 2025, kholo ea tikoloho e lebelletsoe ho 2.4%," ho boletse bahlahlobisisi ba ECLAC Economic Development Division ho Preliminary Overview of Economies of Latin America le Caribbean, e fanoeng mafelong a 2024.
"Le ha likhakanyo tsa 2024 le 2025 li le kaholimo ho karolelano ea lilemo tse leshome, kholo ea moruo e tla lula e le tlase. Karolelano ea kholo ea selemo bakeng sa lilemo tse leshome tsa 2015-2024 e eme ho 1%, e supang GDP ea motho ka mong nakong eo," tlaleho e boletse. Linaha tsa sebaka sena li tobane le seo ECLAC e se bitsitseng "leraba la bokhoni bo fokolang ba kholo."
Khōlo ea libaka tse nyenyane ha e e-s'o lekane, 'me mokhoa ona o ntse o tsoela pele, ECLAC e fana ka maikutlo. "Sebakeng sa subregional, Amerika Boroa le sehlopheng se nang le Mexico le Amerika Bohareng, litekanyetso tsa kholo li fokotsehile ho tloha halofo ea bobeli ea 2022. Amerika Boroa, ho fokotseha ho bonahala haholo ha Brazil e sa kenyelelitsoe, kaha naha eo e phahamisa sekhahla sa kholo ea GDP ka lebaka la boholo ba eona le ts'ebetso e ntlafetseng; kholo e ntse e eketseha ho itšetlehile ka lintlha tsa botho.
"Ts'ebetso ena e fokolang e hakantsoeng e fana ka maikutlo a hore nakong e mahareng, tlatsetso ea moruo oa Latin America le Caribbean kholong ea lefats'e, e bonts'itsoeng ka liphesente tse ngata, e tla batla e fokotseha ka halofo," tlaleho e fana ka maikutlo a eona.
Lintlha le maemo a linaha tsa bohlokoa tsa Latin America lia latela.
Brazil
Keketseho e matla ea tšebeliso ea pente le liphahlo naheng ea Brazil ka 2024 e tšehelitsoe ke kholo ea kakaretso ea moruo ea 3.2% naheng. Polelo ea GDP ea 2025 e lieha, ho 2.3%, ho latela likhakanyo tsa ECLAC. Likhakanyo tsa Banka ea Lefatše li tšoana le tsa Brazil.
Ka karolo ea indasteri ea pente, ts'ebetso ea Brazil e ne e le matla hohle, e etelletsoe pele ke karolo ea likoloi. "Ho ne ho e-na le khōlo meleng eohle ea lihlahisoa ho tloha indastering ea pente le ea ho roala [nakong ea 2024], haholo-holo ka liaparo tsa OEM tsa likoloi, tse ileng tsa tla ka lebaka la keketseho e matla ea thekiso ea likoloi," Abrafati o itse.
Thekiso ea Brazil ea likoloi tse ncha ho kenyeletsoa libese le literaka e eketsehile ka 14% ka 2024 ho ea holimo ka lilemo tse 10, ho latela Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Thekiso ea selemo se felletseng e bile likoloi tse limilione tse 2.63 ka 2024, e khutlisetsa naha maemong a borobeli a maholo har'a mebaraka, ho latela mokhatlo. (Sheba CW 1/24/25).
"Liaparo tsa ho hloekisa likoloi li boetse li bone hore thekiso e hōla ka tekanyo ea 3.6%, ka lebaka la bobeli ba keketseho ea thekiso ea likoloi tse ncha - e nang le liphello ho thekiso ea likoloi tse sebelisitsoeng le ho sebelisa chelete ho lokisoa ka tebello ea thekiso eo - le boemo bo phahameng ba kholiseho ea bareki," Abrafati o hlokometse.
Lipente tse khabisitsoeng le tsona li ile tsa tsoela pele ho bonts'a ts'ebetso e ntle, ka palo ea rekoto ea lilithara tse limilione tse likete tse 1.490 (ho fihla ho 5.9% ho tloha selemong se fetileng), Abrafati o bala. "Le leng la mabaka a ts'ebetso e ntle ea lipente tse khabisitsoeng ke ho kopanngoa ha mokhoa oa batho ba hlokomelang matlo a bona, e le ho ba etsa sebaka sa boiketlo, setšabelo le boiketlo, tse bileng teng ho tloha seoa sena," Abrafati o khothalelitse.
"Ho eketsa mokhoa oo ke ho eketseha ha kholiseho ea bareki, kaha bareki ba ikutloa ba e-na le ts'ireletso e kholoanyane ea mosebetsi le chelete e kenang, e leng senotlolo sa ho etsa qeto ea ho sebelisa seaparo se secha sa pente thepa ea bona," mopresidente oa Abrafati Luiz Cornacchioni o hlalositse lengolong leo.
Liaparo tsa indasteri li boetse li beha kholo e matla, e matlafalitsoeng ke mananeo a ntlafatso ea mmuso a qalileng ho elella bofelong ba 2023 tlasa Mopresidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Ntho e 'ngoe e hlahelletseng ea 2024 e ne e le ts'ebetso ea liphahlo tsa indasteri, tse ileng tsa eketseha ka bongata ho feta 6.3% ho ea ho 2023. Likarolo tsohle tsa mohala oa liindasteri li bontšitse khōlo e phahameng, haholo-holo ka lebaka la thekiso e matla ea nako e telele ea bareki le tsoelo-pele ea merero ea mekhoa ea mekhoa ea motheo (e susumelitsoeng ke lintlha tse kang selemo sa likhetho le likonteraka tse fanoeng ho lefapha la poraefete le sa fuoang)," Abra.
Meralo ea motheo ke tjantjello ea mantlha ea Lenaneo le Lecha la Phatlalatso ea Kholo (Novo PAC), leano la matsete la $347 bilione le reretsoeng merero ea meralo ea motheo, nts'etsopele le tikoloho, tse reretsweng ho nts'etsapele libaka tsohle tsa naha ka ho lekana.Sheba CW 11/12/24).
"Novo PAC e kenyelletsa tšebelisano e matla lipakeng tsa mmuso oa koporasi le lekala la poraefete, linaha, bomasepala le mekhatlo ea sechaba ka boikitlaetso bo kopanetsoeng mabapi le phetoho ea tikoloho, neo-industrialization, kholo hammoho le kenyelletso ea sechaba le ts'ireletso ea tikoloho," ho boletse webosaete ea mopresidente.
Libapali tse kholo ka ho fetisisa 'marakeng oa pente, oa ho roala le oa likhomaretsi (NAICS CODES: 3255) li kenyelletsa tsena tse hlano, ho latela Dunn & Bradstreet:
• Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, e thehiloeng Guarulhos, seterekeng sa Sao Paulo, ka thekiso ea selemo le selemo ea $ 271.85 milione.
• Henkel, e thehiloeng Itapevi, seterekeng sa Sao Paulo, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 140.69.
• Killing S/A Tintas e Adesivos, e leng Novo Hamburgo, Rio Grande Do Sul state, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 129.14.
• Renner Sayerlack, ea lulang Sao Paulo, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 111.3.
• Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, e leng Taboao Da Serra, seterekeng sa Sao Paulo, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 93.19.
Argentina
Argentina, eo e leng baahisani ba Brazil har'a linaha tsa Southern Cone, e mothating oa ho khutlisa kholo e matla ea 4.3% selemong sena ka mor'a ho fokotseha ha 3.2% ka 2024, haholo-holo mosebetsi oa tataiso ea moruo e matla ea Mopresidente Javier Milei. Khakanyo ena ea GDP ea ECLAC ha e na tšepo ea hore Letlole la Lichelete la Machabeng le bolela esale pele ka sekhahla sa kholo ea 5% bakeng sa Argentina ka 2025.
Nako ea ho holisa matlo Argentina e lebelletsoe ho eketseha tlhokahalo ea lipente tsa meralo le liphahlo (Sheba CW 9/23/24). Phetoho e 'ngoe ea bohlokoa Argentina ke pheletso ea keketseho ea rente le taolo ea nako ea ho hira bakeng sa mmaraka oa thekiso ea matlo le matlo. Ka Phato 2024, Milei o ile a lahla Molao oa Rente oa 2020 o theiloeng ke ba pele.
tsamaiso ea le letšehali.
Ho nchafatsa lifolete tse khutletseng 'marakeng o bulehileng ho ka ba matla a ho koahela meaho ho boleng ba hoo e ka bang $ 650 milione bofelong ba 2027 kamora ho hola ka sekhahla sa kholo ea selemo le selemo (CAGR) se ka bang 4.5% nakong ea lilemo tse hlano lipakeng tsa 2022 le 2027, ho latela phuputso e entsoeng ke IndustryARC.
Likhamphani tse kholo ka ho fetisisa tsa ho penta le ho roala Argentina, ho latela D&B, li kenyelletsa:
• Akzo Nobel Argentina, e leng Garín, profinseng ea Buenos Aires, thekiso ha e e-s'o boleloe.
• Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, e leng Avellaneda, Buenos Aires, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 116.06 ka selemo.
• Chemotecnica, e leng Carlos Spegazzini, Buenos Aires, thekiso ha e tsejoe.
• Mapei Argentina, e leng Escobar, Buenos Aires, thekiso ha e tsejoe.
• Akapol, e leng Villa Ballester, Buenos Aires, thekiso ha e tsejoe.
Colombia
Kholo e tla fola Colombia e hakanngoa esale pele bakeng sa 2025 ho 2.6% ha e bapisoa le 1.8% ka 2024, ho latela ECLAC. Sena se tla fana ka phello e ntle haholo-holo bakeng sa
karolo ea meralo.
"Tlhoko ea malapeng e tla ba eona e ka sehloohong ea ho hōla lilemong tse peli tse tlang. Tšebeliso ea thepa, e ileng ea bona ho tsosolosoa ha karolo ea 2024, e tla eketseha ka matla ka 2025 ka lebaka la phaello e tlaase ea phaello le chelete e phahameng ea sebele," ho ngola bahlahlobisisi ba BBVA ponong ea March 2025 bakeng sa naha.
Ntlafatso ea libopeho tsa motheo, e seng e qala ho eketseha, e tla phahamisa tlhokahalo ea lirafshoa tsa indasteri. Merero e meholo, joalo ka boema-fofane bo bocha ba Cartegena, e reretsoe ho qala kaho nakong ea halofo ea pele ea 2025.
"Ho tsepamisa maikutlo ha 'muso holim'a litšebeletso tsa motheo, ho kenyeletsa le lipalangoang, matla le mekhoa ea sechaba (likolo le lipetlele), e tla lula e le tšiea ea mantlha ea leano la moruo. Merero ea bohlokoa e kenyelletsa katoloso ea litsela, lits'ebetso tsa metro le ntlafatso ea boema-kepe," ho tlaleha bahlahlobisisi ba Gleeds.
"Lefapha la mesebetsi ea sechaba le tsoetse pele ho makatsa ka ho hola ka 13.9% kotareng ea bobeli ea 2024 letotong la lona le fetotsoeng ka linako tsa selemo, ho latela kotara tse hlano tse latellanang tsa konteraka. Leha ho le joalo, e ntse e le lekala le ntseng le putlama ka ho fetisisa moruong kaofela, le eme ka 36% ka tlase ho maemo a pele ho seoa," bahlahlobisisi ba Gleeds ba eketsa.
Libapali tse kholo ka ho fetisisa 'marakeng joalo ka ha li behiloe ke D&B ke tse latelang:
• Compania Global de Pinturas, e thehiloeng Medellin, lefapha la Antioquia, e nang le $ 219.33 limilione tse rekisoang selemo le selemo.
• Invesa, e thehiloeng Envigado, Antioquia, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 117.62.
• Coloquimica, e thehiloeng La Estrella, Antioquia, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 68.16.
• Sun Chemical Colombia, e thehiloeng Medellin, Antioquia. ka liranta tse limilione tse 62.97 tse rekisoang.
• PPG Industries Colombia, e thehiloeng Itagui, Antioquia, ka thekiso ea liranta tse limilione tse 55.02.
Paraguay
Har'a linaha tsa Latin America tse lebelletsoeng ho hola ka potlako haholo ke Paraguay, eo ho lebelletsoeng hore e tla holisa GDP ea eona ka 4.2% selemong sena, kamora kholo ea 3.9% selemong se fetileng, ECLAC e tlaleha.
"GDP ea Paraguay e hakanngoa ho ba lidolara tse limilione tse likete tse 45 qetellong ea 2024 ho latela maemo a theko ea hona joale ea GDP. Ha re sheba pele ho 2025, likhakanyo li bontša hore Paraguay ea 2025 GDP hakanngoa e ka ba liranta tse limilione tse likete tse 46.3. Moruo oa Paraguay o eketsehile ka sekhahla sa kholo ea selemo le selemo sa 6.1% lilemong tse 'nè tse fetileng, Uruguay e le karolo ea moruo oa lefatše ka bophara." Economics, bahlahlobisisi ba London.
Lihlahisoa tse nyane li ntse li tsoela pele ho ba karolo e kholo ea moruo oa Paraguay. "BCP [Paraguay Central Bank] e hakanya hore [2025] e tla atleha indastering ea Paraguay, ho totobalitsoe indastering ea maquila (kopano le phetheho ea lihlahisoa). Maikutlo a indasteri ka kakaretso ke kholo ea 5% "ho tlaleha H2Foz, ka December 2024.
Matsete a meaho a tla thusa ho etsa tlhahiso Paraguay.
"Letlōle la OPEC bakeng sa Ntšetso-pele ea Machaba (ka Pherekhong) le phatlalalitse hore le fana ka kalimo ea liranta tse limilione tse 50 ho Paraguay ho thusa ka lichelete ho tsosolosa, ho ntlafatsa le ho lokisa National Route PY22 le litsela tsa ho kena karolong e ka leboea ea Paraguay ea Concepción. E tšehelitsoe ka chelete ea kalimo ea $ 135 milione e tsoang ho CAF (Banka ea Ntlafatso ea Caribbean ea Latin America) le Latin America.
Litsela le kaho e ncha ea lihotele li tla thusa Paraguay ho holisa indasteri ea eona ea bohahlauli, e ntseng e hola ka potlako, e nang le baeti ba fetang limilione tse 2.2, ho latela tlaleho e tsoang ho Mongoli oa Paraguay of Tourism (Senatur). Resumen de Noticias (RSN) e tlaleha: "Lintlha, tse hlophisitsoeng ka tšebelisano 'moho le Directorate of Migration, li senola keketseho e kholo ea 22% ea baeti ba fihlang ho bapisoa le 2023."
Leoatle la Caribbean
Joalo ka karolo e nyane, Caribbean e lebelletsoe ho bonts'a kholo ea 11% selemong sena, ha e bapisoa le 5.7% ka 2024, ho latela ECLAC (Sheba chate ea projeke ea ECLAC GDP). Har'a linaha tse 14 tse nkoang e le karolo ea sebaka se senyenyane, Guyana e bonts'a kholo e sa tloaelehang ea 41.5% selemong sena, ha e bapisoa le 13.6% ka 2024, ka lebaka la indasteri ea oli e ntseng e hola ka potlako.
Banka ea Lefatše e tlaleha mehloli ea oli le khase ea Guyana “e fetang libarele tse ka holimo ho libilione tse 11,2 tse lekanang le oli, ho kopanyelletsa le mehloli e hakanyetsoang ea li-cubic mithara tse libilione tse 17 tsa mehloli ea khase ea tlhaho e amanang le eona.” Likhamphani tse ngata tsa machaba tsa oli li ntse li tsoela pele ho etsa matsete a maholo, e leng se lebisitseng ho 2022 ho qala ha lebelo la tlhahiso ea oli naheng.
Phello e hlahisoang ke chelete e tla thusa ho theha tlhokahalo e ncha ea likarolo tsohle tsa pente le liphahlo. Leha ho le joalo, nalaneng, GDP ea Guyana e ne e le e 'ngoe ea tse tlase ho fetisisa Amerika Boroa, kholo e makatsang ea moruo ho tloha ka 2020, ka karolelano ea 42.3% lilemong tse tharo tse fetileng, e tlisitse GDP ka motho ho feta $18,199 ka 2022, ho tloha ho $6,477 ka 2019.
Litlaleho tsa banka.
Libapali tse kholo ka ho fetesisa tsa pente le liphahlo sebakeng se ka tlase, ho latela lipatlisiso tsa Google AI, li kenyelletsa:
• Libapali tsa Libaka: Lanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, le Royal.
• Lik'hamphani tsa Machaba: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore le Comex.
• Lik'hamphani tse ling tse hlokomelehang li kenyelletsa RM Lucas Co. le Caribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
Venezuela
Venezuela e bile setho sa lipolotiki Latin America ka lilemo tse ngata, leha naha e na le leruo la oli le khase, tlasa puso ea Mopresidente Nicolás Maduro. ECLAC e bolela esale pele hore moruo o tla hola ka 6.2% selemong sena, ha o bapisoa le 3.1% ka 2024.
Tsamaiso ea Trump e kanna ea lahlela metsi a batang mabapi le polelo eo ea kholo ka phatlalatso ea morao-rao ea Hlakubele ea hore United States e tla lefisa lekhetho la kantle ho naha la 25% naheng efe kapa efe e kenyang oli ea Venezuela, e hakanyetsoang ho 90% ea moruo oa naha.
Phatlalatso ea lekhetho e tlile ka mor'a ho hlakoloa ha laesense ea Chevron ea la 4 Hlakubele ho fumana le ho hlahisa oli ka har'a naha. "Haeba mohato ona o fetisetsoa ho lik'hamphani tse ling - ho kenyeletsoa Repsol ea Spain, Eni ea Italy le Maurel & Prom ea Fora - moruo oa Venezuela o ka tobana le ho theoha ho hoholo ha tlhahiso ea oli e sa tsoakoang, phepelo e fokotsehileng ea peterole, 'maraka o fokolang oa phapanyetsano ea kantle ho naha, ho theoha ha theko le ho phahama ha theko," ho bolela Caracas Chronicles.
Mokhatlo oa litaba o qotsa phetoho ea morao-rao ea pono ho tsoa ho Ecoanalítica, "e rerang phokotso ea 2% ho isa ho 3% ho GDP bofelong ba 2025, ka ho theoha ha 20% lekaleng la oli." Bahlahlobisisi ba tsoela pele: "Matšoao ohle a fana ka maikutlo a hore 2025 e tla ba thata le ho feta ho feta kamoo ho neng ho lebelletsoe pele, ka ho theoha ho hoholo ha nako e khuts'oane ha tlhahiso le ho theoha ha lekhetho la oli."
Har'a barekisi ba ka sehloohong ba oli ea Venezuela ke China, eo ka 2023 e ileng ea reka 68% ea oli e romelloang kantle ho naha ke Venezuela, ho latela tlhahlobo ea 2024 ke US Energy Information Administration, e tlaleha EuroNews. “Spain, India, Russia, Singapore le Vietnam le tsone ke dingwe tsa dinaga tse di amogelang oli go tswa kwa Venezuela, pego e bontsha,” mokgatlho wa dikgang o bega jalo.
Empa esita le United States - ho sa tsotellehe likotlo tse khahlanong le Venezuela - e reka oli naheng eo.
Ka lapeng, moruo o ntse o tsepamisitse maikutlo ntlafatsong ea matlo, e lokelang ho eketsa tlhokahalo ea lipente tsa meralo le liphahlo. Ka Mots'eanong 2024, mmuso oa Venezuela o ile oa tšoaea sehopotso sa bo13 sa lenaneo la ona la Great Housing Mission (GMVV), ho keteka lehae la limilione tse 4.9 le fuoeng malapa a basebetsi, ho tlaleha Venezuelanalysis. Lenaneo le na le sepheo sa ho aha matlo a limilione tse 7 ka 2030.
Le ha batseteli ba Bophirima ba ka ba lihlong mabapi le ho pepeseha ho eketsehileng Venezuela, libanka tsa linaha tse ngata li ts'ehetsa merero ea meralo, ho kenyeletsoa banka ea Nts'etsopele ea Latin America le Caribbean (CAF).
Nako ea poso: May-08-2025
